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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw
Las Vegas, USA
24 Jul 2021
Bantamweight
VS
72%
Yanez
28%
Costa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:11
Adrian
Adrian Yanez
176
5'7"70" reachOrthodox32 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 64
RC
Randy Costa
"The Zohan"
64
Knockout Artist3-fight slide32 yrsSwitch73" reach5'9"
CFR 25
★ Official Result
Adrian YanezwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:11
def. Randy Costa · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Yanez
Actual result
Yanez wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Yanez is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Yanez throws more volume but Costa connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Yanez's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Costa has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
YanezCosta
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Yanez
Costa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
+73"
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Yanez
Costa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.7
24.9
57.7
Performance Avg
49.3
52
Quality of Victory
60
84
Momentum Score
13
Yanez
Costa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
2.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
49%
9.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
11
2
Body
1
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
25Distance12
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Yanez
Costa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Yanez
Costa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
11/23 fights
Chin rating based on
6/10 fights
Yanez
Costa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
13
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Yanez
Costa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Yanez
Costa
Striking9.7 / 10.0Volume2.7 / 0.7Grappling0.4 / 0.0Wrestling0.3 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Yanez
Strike Zones
Costa
Yanez
Attacking
24HEAD2BODY5LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Costa
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD2BODY5LEGS31 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Yanez targets the head (77% of attacks) — Costa absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Costa targets the head (92% of attacks) — Yanez absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Yanez
RND
Costa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Yanez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.5W5.2W5.3W5.0W2.7L3.3L5.0W6.8L2020-102021-112023-102024-12
WinLossTrend

Costa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0102.8L5.0W5.0W4.2L2.8L1.5L2019-042019-102020-092021-072021-122022-10
WinLossTrend

Yanez · Last 5

Upcoming
Cody Garbrandt
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
Upcoming
Ricky Simon
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Vinicius SalvadorRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · KO · R2
Jonathan MartinezRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10

Costa · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Guido CannettiRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
L · KO · R2
Tony KelleyRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Adrian YanezRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
W · KO · R1
Journey NewsonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Boston SalmonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10

News & Media

Adrian Yanez · Randy Costa
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