UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw
Las Vegas, USA
24 Jul 2021
Bantamweight
VS
72%
Yanez
28%
Costa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:11
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Yanez
Yanez is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Yanez throws more volume but Costa connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Yanez's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Costa has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Yanez
Costa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
+73"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Yanez
Costa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.7
24.9
57.7
Performance Avg
49.3
52
Quality of Victory
60
84
Momentum Score
13
Yanez
Costa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
2.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
49%
9.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
11
2
Body
1
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
25Distance12
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Yanez
Costa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Yanez
Costa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/23 fights
Chin rating based on
6/10 fights
Yanez
Costa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
13
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Yanez
Costa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yanez
Costa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
YanezCosta
Strike Zones
Yanez
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedCosta
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yanez targets the head (77% of attacks) — Costa absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Costa targets the head (92% of attacks) — Yanez absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yanez
RND
Costa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Yanez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Costa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Yanez · Last 5
Upcoming
Cody GarbrandtUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
Upcoming
Ricky SimonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Vinicius SalvadorRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · KO · R2
Jonathan MartinezRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
Costa · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Guido CannettiRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
L · KO · R2
Tony KelleyRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Adrian YanezRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
W · KO · R1
Journey NewsonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Boston SalmonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10