UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
Winnipeg, Canada
15 Jun 2013
Welterweight
VS
43%
Shields
57%
Woodley
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JS
Jake Shields
31 – 9
6'0"72" reachOrthodox47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 15
TW
Tyron Woodley
"The Chosen One"
19 – 7
Striker4-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'9"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Woodley

This is a genuine toss-up — Shields at 43% vs Woodley at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Woodley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.

Woodley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Woodley has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Shields
Woodley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
72"
Reach
+74"
47
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Shields
Woodley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
19.4
37.9
Performance Avg
58.9
25
Quality of Victory
58
65
Momentum Score
40
Shields
Woodley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.9
32%
Strike Accuracy
49%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
17
Body
18
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance7
12Clinch18
0Ground0
Shields
Woodley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shields
Woodley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
58
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/40 fights
Chin rating based on
16/26 fights
Shields
Woodley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
40
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Shields
Woodley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shields
Woodley
Striking1.1 / 6.8Volume9.1 / 3.9Grappling2.4 / 1.7Wrestling1.7 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 1.1Pressure1.7 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
1.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
9.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
Shields
Strike Zones
Woodley
Shields
Attacking
5HEAD17BODY3LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD18BODY2LEGS25 absorbed
Woodley
Attacking
5HEAD18BODY2LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD17BODY3LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Shields targets the body (68% of attacks) — Woodley absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Woodley targets the body (72% of attacks) — Shields absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Shields
RND
Woodley
0/0R00/0

Shields · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.5L1.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L2010-102011-092013-062014-03
WinLossTrend

Woodley · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.0W5.5L5.0W5.2W5.5L5.0W4.8W5.3W5.1W4.5W5.1W6.6L5.7L5.3L3.0L2013-022014-062017-032020-052021-03
WinLossTrend

Shields · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
W · Dec · R5
Demian MaiaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Tyron WoodleyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Upcoming
Ed Herman
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
W · Dec · R3
Yoshihiro AkiyamaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02

Woodley · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3
Submission
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · KO · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Darren TillRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09

News & Media

Jake Shields · Tyron Woodley
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