UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
21 Oct 2023
Middleweight
VS
44%
Azaitar
56%
Dumas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AA
Abu Azaitar
"Captain Morocco"
14 – 4
5'9"76" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 22
Sedriques
Sedriques Dumas
"The Reaper"
10 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide30 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'2"
CFR 28

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dumas

This is a genuine toss-up — Azaitar at 44% vs Dumas at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Dumas throws more volume but Azaitar connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Dumas has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Azaitar
Dumas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'2"
76"
Reach
+79"
40
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Azaitar
Dumas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.1
27.6
28.3
Performance Avg
30.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
27
Momentum Score
35
Azaitar
Dumas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.7
39%
Strike Accuracy
32%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
6
9
Body
2
3
Leg
7
RangeRange
15Distance15
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Azaitar
Dumas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Azaitar
Dumas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
20
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
9/15 fights
Azaitar
Dumas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Azaitar
Dumas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Azaitar
Dumas
Striking0.7 / 0.8Volume8.7 / 8.8Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 1.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
Azaitar
Strike Zones
Dumas
Azaitar
Attacking
4HEAD9BODY3LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY7LEGS15 absorbed
Dumas
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY7LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD9BODY3LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Azaitar targets the body (56% of attacks) — Dumas absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Dumas targets the legs (47% of attacks) — Azaitar absorbs 47% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Azaitar
RND
Dumas
0/0R00/0

Azaitar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.0L5.5L2018-072021-032023-10
WinLossTrend

Dumas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0102.8L5.0W4.5W3.4L4.6W2.5L4.5L2.5L2023-032023-102024-082025-112026-04
WinLossTrend

Azaitar · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Sedriques DumasRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · KO · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Vitor MirandaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07

Dumas · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jackson McVeyRating 2.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Sub · R2
Donte JohnsonRating 4.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
Upcoming
Zach Reese
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Denis TiuliulinRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

News & Media

Abu Azaitar · Sedriques Dumas
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