UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
Glendale, USA
12 Jun 2021
Welterweight
VS
36%
Maia
64%
Muhammad
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DM
Demian Maia
28 – 11
6'1"72" reachSouthpaw48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
Belal
Belal Muhammad
"Remember the Name"
24 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Muhammad

Muhammad holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Maia has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Muhammad has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Maia
Muhammad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
72"
48
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Muhammad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
56.8
50.8
Performance Avg
48.5
40
Quality of Victory
31
100
Momentum Score
100
Maia
Muhammad
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
19
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance20
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Maia
Muhammad
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Muhammad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
19 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
22/29 fights
Maia
Muhammad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Maia
Muhammad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
11
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maia
Muhammad
Striking1.8 / 2.8Volume5.0 / 7.9Grappling5.1 / 2.5Wrestling3.6 / 1.7Submission5.0 / 0.7Pressure5.8 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Maia
Strike Zones
Muhammad
Maia
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD2BODY0LEGS21 absorbed
Muhammad
Attacking
19HEAD2BODY0LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Muhammad absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Muhammad targets the head (90% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 90% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maia
RND
Muhammad
0/0R00/0

Maia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.4W5.5W5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.3L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.9W5.6W5.9W5.0W4.5W5.5L6.8L6.6L5.0W4.5W5.2W1.7L6.6L2007-102010-122014-052018-052021-06
WinLossTrend

Muhammad · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.5W3.0L5.4W4.5W4.6W4.5W6.5L4.5W5.7W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.1W6.0W6.4W4.7W5.6W7.0L7.0L2016-072017-112020-062022-102025-11
WinLossTrend

Maia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02

Muhammad · Last 5

Upcoming
Gabriel Bonfim
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 7
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

News & Media

Demian Maia · Belal Muhammad
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