UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
Broomfield, USA
21 Mar 2010
Light Heavyweight
VS
22%
Vera
78%
Jones
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:19
BV
Brandon Vera
"The Truth"
157
6'3"78" reachOrthodox48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
Jon
Jon Jones
"Bones"
281
Well-Rounded19-fight win streak38 yrsOrthodox84" reach6'4"
CFR 71

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jones

Jones is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 51 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jones has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Jones has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Vera's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Vera
Jones
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
78"
Reach
+84"
48
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vera
Jones
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.6
70.9
48.3
Performance Avg
74.6
45
Quality of Victory
61
100
Momentum Score
100
Vera
Jones
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
53%
Strike Accuracy
58%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.6
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
9
1
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
1Clinch1
3Ground9
Vera
Jones
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
1
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vera
Jones
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
24/29 fights
Vera
Jones
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
19-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Vera
Jones
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
55%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
6
3
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vera
Jones
Striking6.1 / 4.6Volume4.1 / 5.5Grappling1.9 / 3.3Wrestling1.3 / 2.3Submission1.3 / 2.7Pressure6.0 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Vera
Strike Zones
Jones
Vera
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Jones
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Vera targets the head (60% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Jones targets the head (82% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vera
RND
Jones
0/0R00/0

Vera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.5L1.5L4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W5.5L3.3L4.5W3.4L4.0L2005-102007-102009-032011-102013-08
WinLossTrend

Jones · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.2W4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.2W5.4W5.1W4.5W5.4W5.0W4.5W4.9W4.5W5.1W5.2W5.7W4.5W5.5W6.8W6.3W2008-082011-022013-042019-032024-11
WinLossTrend

Vera · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Ben RothwellRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
L · KO · R4
Mauricio RuaRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
W · Dec · R3
Eliot MarshallRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
Upcoming
Thiago Silva
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · KO · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03

Jones · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Ciryl GaneRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
W · Dec · R5
Dominick ReyesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · Dec · R5
Thiago SantosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R5
Anthony SmithRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03

News & Media

Brandon Vera · Jon Jones
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