METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
Chicago, USA
23 Jul 2016
Heavyweight
VS
93%
Henrique
7%
Smoliakov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:58
★ Official Result
Luis HenriquewinsSubmissionR2 · 3:58
def. Dmitrii Smoliakov · UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Henrique
→
Actual result
Henrique wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Henrique is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Henrique has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.
Smoliakov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Henrique's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Smoliakov has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HenriqueSmoliakov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Henrique
Smoliakov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
74"
Reach
74"
32+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Henrique
Smoliakov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
1.2
41.7
Performance Avg
0.0
47
Quality of Victory
0
52
Momentum Score
0
Henrique
Smoliakov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
0.6
39%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
4Ground1
Henrique
Smoliakov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Henrique
Smoliakov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
44
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Henrique
Smoliakov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Henrique
Smoliakov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Henrique
Smoliakov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HenriqueSmoliakov
Strike Zones
Henrique
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSmoliakov
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Henrique targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smoliakov absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Smoliakov targets the head (50% of attacks) — Henrique absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Henrique
RND
Smoliakov
0/0R00/0
Henrique · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Smoliakov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.9WinLossTrend
Henrique · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ryan SpannRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Arjan BhullarRating 5.5Decision
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · KO · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
W · Sub · R3
Christian ColomboRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · Sub · R2
Dmitrii SmoliakovRating 5.2Submission
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
Smoliakov · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Greg HardyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Cyril AskerRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · Sub · R2
Luis HenriqueRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07