METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
Chicago, USA
23 Jul 2016
Heavyweight
VS
93%
Henrique
7%
Smoliakov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:58
★ Official Result
Luis HenriquewinsSubmissionR2 · 3:58
def. Dmitrii Smoliakov · UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Henrique
→
Actual result
Henrique wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Henrique is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Henrique has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.
Risk flags
Henrique's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Smoliakov has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HenriqueSmoliakov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Henrique
Smoliakov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
74"
Reach
74"
33+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Henrique
Smoliakov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
1.2
41.7
Performance Avg
0.0
47
Quality of Victory
0
52
Momentum Score
0
Henrique
Smoliakov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
0.7
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
4Ground1
Henrique
Smoliakov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Henrique
Smoliakov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
44
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Henrique
Smoliakov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Henrique
Smoliakov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Henrique
Smoliakov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HenriqueSmoliakov
Strike Zones
Henrique
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSmoliakov
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Henrique targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smoliakov absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Smoliakov targets the head (50% of attacks) — Henrique absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Henrique
RND
Smoliakov
0/0R00/0
Henrique · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ryan SpannDecision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Arjan BhullarDecision
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · KO · R3
Marcin TyburaKO/TKO
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
W · Sub · R3
Christian ColomboSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · Sub · R2
Dmitrii SmoliakovSubmission
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
Smoliakov · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Greg HardyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Cyril AskerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · Sub · R2
Luis HenriqueSubmission
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07