UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa
London, United Kingdom
8 Mar 2014
Flyweight
VS
35%
Harris
65%
Gaudinot
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gaudinot
Gaudinot holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Harris has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gaudinot has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Striking split: Harris throws more volume but Gaudinot connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Harris's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Harris
Gaudinot
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
65"+
Reach
63"
42
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Harris
Gaudinot
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.0
16.4
25.0
Performance Avg
39.7
25
Quality of Victory
50
22
Momentum Score
36
Harris
Gaudinot
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.8
24%
Strike Accuracy
37%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Harris
Gaudinot
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Harris
Gaudinot
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/34 fights
Chin rating based on
5/12 fights
Harris
Gaudinot
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
36
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
Harris
Gaudinot
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Harris
Gaudinot
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
HarrisGaudinot
Strike Zones
Harris
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedGaudinot
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Harris targets the head (67% of attacks) — Gaudinot absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Gaudinot targets the head (50% of attacks) — Harris absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Harris
RND
Gaudinot
0/0R00/0
Harris · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Gaudinot · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Harris · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Neil SeeryRating 5.5Decision
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Upcoming
Louis GaudinotUFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
L · KO · R1
John LinekerRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Ulysses GomezRating 4.5Decision
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L · Sub · R2
Darren UyenoyamaRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
Gaudinot · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7Decision
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
Upcoming
Phil HarrisUFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 5.6Decision
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
W · Sub · R2
John LinekerRating 5.2Submission
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L · KO · R3
Johnny BedfordRating 4KO/TKO
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