UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland
Las Vegas, USA
10 Apr 2021
Heavyweight
VS
44%
Castro
56%
Danho
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:02
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Danho
This is a genuine toss-up — Castro at 44% vs Danho at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Danho has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Castro
Danho
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
74"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Castro
Danho
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
22.2
46.0
Performance Avg
56.0
60
Quality of Victory
60
29
Momentum Score
59
Castro
Danho
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.1
30%
Strike Accuracy
56%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
0
Body
1
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
2Distance8
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Castro
Danho
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Castro
Danho
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/9 fights
Chin rating based on
3/8 fights
Castro
Danho
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
29
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Castro
Danho
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Castro
Danho
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
CastroDanho
Strike Zones
Castro
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedDanho
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Castro targets the head (100% of attacks) — Danho absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Danho targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Castro absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Castro
RND
Danho
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Castro · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Danho · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Castro · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Jarjis DanhoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Carlos FelipeRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Greg HardyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Justin TafaRating 6.6KO/TKO
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
Danho · Last 3
W · KO · R1
Yorgan De CastroRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Christian ColomboDecision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Daniel OmielanczukRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02