UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum
Monterrey, Mexico
21 Nov 2015
Welterweight
VS
12%
Ho
88%
Mendoza
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:30
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mendoza
Mendoza is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mendoza has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Mendoza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Mendoza has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ho
Mendoza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+6'0"
Reach
74"
33+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ho
Mendoza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.2
16.4
0.0
Performance Avg
46.0
0
Quality of Victory
60
0
Momentum Score
22
Ho
Mendoza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.1
25%
Strike Accuracy
33%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
4
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Ho
Mendoza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Ho
Mendoza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/4 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Ho
Mendoza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
22
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Ho
Mendoza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ho
Mendoza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
HoMendoza
Strike Zones
Ho
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedMendoza
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ho targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Mendoza absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Mendoza targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ho absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ho
RND
Mendoza
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mendoza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
Ho · Last 1
L · KO · R1
Alvaro Herrera MendozaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
Mendoza · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Devin PowellRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
L · Sub · R1
Jordan RinaldiRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · KO · R1
Vernon Ramos HoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11