UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2006
Heavyweight
VS
50%
Cruz
50%
Mir
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:10
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cruz
This is a genuine toss-up — Cruz at 50% vs Mir at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Cruz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Mir has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cruz
Mir
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
Reach
79"
48
Age
+47
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cruz
Mir
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.2
21.2
52.9
Performance Avg
57.4
55
Quality of Victory
56
65
Momentum Score
88
Cruz
Mir
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.1
59%
Strike Accuracy
48%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
0
9
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch2
30Ground1
Cruz
Mir
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cruz
Mir
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/11 fights
Chin rating based on
27/29 fights
Cruz
Mir
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
88
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Cruz
Mir
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
81%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
8
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cruz
Mir
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
CruzMir
Strike Zones
Cruz
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMir
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cruz targets the head (71% of attacks) — Mir absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Mir targets the body (100% of attacks) — Cruz absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cruz
RND
Mir
0/0R00/0
Cruz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Mir · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Cruz · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Andrei ArlovskiRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 66: Liddell vs Ortiz 2 · 2006-12
L · Dec · R3
Jeff MonsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 59: Reality Check · 2006-04
W · KO · R1
Frank MirRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
W · Sub · R2
Keigo KuniharaRating 5.2Submission
UFC 55: Fury · 2005-10
Mir · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Mark HuntRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · KO · R1
Todd DuffeeRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Alistair OvereemRating 5.5Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02