UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
5 Dec 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
94%
Dolidze
6%
Allan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dolidze
Dolidze is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 59 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dolidze has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.
Striking split: Allan throws more volume but Dolidze connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Dolidze
Allan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
76"+
Reach
75"
37
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dolidze
Allan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.3
4.2
52.0
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Dolidze
Allan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
38%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
4
9
Body
1
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
28Distance7
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Dolidze
Allan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dolidze
Allan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
3/20 fights
Dolidze
Allan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Dolidze
Allan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dolidze
Allan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
DolidzeAllan
Strike Zones
Dolidze
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedAllan
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dolidze targets the head (64% of attacks) — Allan absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Allan targets the head (50% of attacks) — Dolidze absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dolidze
RND
Allan
0/0R00/0
Dolidze · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Allan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.9WinLossTrend
Dolidze · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R4
Anthony HernandezRating 4.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Kevin HollandRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony SmithRating 5.7Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Allan · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 6.9Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
Upcoming
Mike RodriguezUFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07