★ Championship Bout · Flyweight
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
Las Vegas, USA
5 Sept 2015
Flyweight
VS
53%
Johnson
47%
Dodson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
DJ
Demetrious Johnson
"Mighty Mouse"
27 – 3
5'3"66" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 25
JD
John Dodson
"The Magician"
22 – 12
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'3"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 53% vs Dodson at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Striking split: Dodson throws more volume but Johnson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Johnson
Dodson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
5'3"
66"
Reach
66"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Dodson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.2
22.0
69.9
Performance Avg
50.7
58
Quality of Victory
45
85
Momentum Score
100
Johnson
Dodson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.2
58%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
5
5
Body
5
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
13Distance14
5Clinch1
0Ground0
Johnson
Dodson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Dodson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/30 fights
Chin rating based on
17/34 fights
Johnson
Dodson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
100
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Johnson
Dodson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
5
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Dodson
Striking3.1 / 6.2Volume6.0 / 4.4Grappling4.0 / 1.0Wrestling2.8 / 0.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure5.9 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Johnson
Strike Zones
Dodson
Johnson
Attacking
12HEAD5BODY1LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD5BODY5LEGS15 absorbed
Dodson
Attacking
5HEAD5BODY5LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD5BODY1LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Dodson absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Dodson targets the head (33% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 33% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Dodson
0/0R00/0

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W5.0W4.5W5.1W7.0W4.5W6.5W4.6W5.2W5.5W7.0L2011-022013-012015-042017-102018-08
WinLossTrend

Dodson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.1W4.6W5.2W5.5L5.0W4.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L7.0L6.3W6.8L2011-122014-062017-042020-022020-08
WinLossTrend

Johnson · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Henry CejudoRating 7
Decision
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · Sub · R5
Ray BorgRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Sub · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.2
Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · Dec · R5
Tim ElliottRating 4.6
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Henry CejudoRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04

Dodson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Petr YanRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03

News & Media

Demetrious Johnson · John Dodson
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