UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
Anaheim, USA
22 Jan 2022
Bantamweight
VS
49%
Barcelos
51%
Henry
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Henry
This is a genuine toss-up — Barcelos at 49% vs Henry at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Barcelos throws more volume but Henry connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Barcelos
Henry
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
+68"
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Barcelos
Henry
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.6
52.9
49.8
Performance Avg
45.4
34
Quality of Victory
31
63
Momentum Score
81
Barcelos
Henry
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
2.0
55%
Strike Accuracy
55%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
44
Head
42
5
Body
24
6
Leg
3
RangeRange
50Distance62
5Clinch7
0Ground0
Barcelos
Henry
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barcelos
Henry
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/27 fights
Chin rating based on
8/32 fights
Barcelos
Henry
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
81
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R3
Upcoming
Barcelos
Henry
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barcelos
Henry
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
BarcelosHenry
Strike Zones
Barcelos
Attacking
55 landedAbsorbing
69 absorbedHenry
Attacking
69 landedAbsorbing
55 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barcelos targets the head (80% of attacks) — Henry absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Henry targets the head (61% of attacks) — Barcelos absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barcelos
RND
Henry
0/0R00/0
Barcelos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Henry · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Barcelos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Cody GarbrandtRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottRating 6Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R3
Cristian QuinonezRating 6.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
Henry · Last 5
Upcoming
Bryce MitchellUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Pedro FalcaoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R2
Charles JourdainRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · KO · R3
Rani YahyaRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
Upcoming
Javid BasharatUFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

