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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal
London, United Kingdom
16 Mar 2019
Lightweight
VS
63%
Diakiese
37%
Duffy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MD
Marc Diakiese
"Bonecrusher"
177
5'10"73" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 37
JD
Joe Duffy
"Irish"
165
Well-Rounded3-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'10"
CFR 22
★ Official Result
Marc DiakiesewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joe Duffy · UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diakiese
Actual result
Diakiese wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Diakiese holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Duffy has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Duffy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Striking split: Duffy throws more volume but Diakiese connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Diakiese's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Duffy has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
DiakieseDuffy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Diakiese
Duffy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
73"
33+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Diakiese
Duffy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.3
21.7
41.2
Performance Avg
49.0
33
Quality of Victory
48
88
Momentum Score
100
Diakiese
Duffy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
36%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
6
Body
2
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance4
3Clinch0
2Ground0
Diakiese
Duffy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diakiese
Duffy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
8/21 fights
Diakiese
Duffy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
100
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Diakiese
Duffy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Diakiese
Duffy
Striking3.6 / 3.5Volume7.1 / 3.0Grappling1.8 / 4.6Wrestling1.3 / 3.2Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure3.4 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
Diakiese
Strike Zones
Duffy
Diakiese
Attacking
7HEAD6BODY7LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Duffy
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD6BODY7LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Diakiese targets the head (35% of attacks) — Duffy absorbs 35% of strikes there
🎯Duffy targets the head (50% of attacks) — Diakiese absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Diakiese
RND
Duffy
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Diakiese · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W4.5W5.0W6.5L4.9L6.2L4.5W5.0W6.5L1.5L5.0W4.5W5.6L4.0L6.1W2016-102017-122020-072022-122023-11
WinLossTrend

Duffy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.0W6.8L5.0W4.5W2.8L5.6L2.8L2015-032016-012017-032019-032020-07
WinLossTrend

Diakiese · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Kaue FernandesRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
L · Sub · R2
Joel AlvarezRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03

Duffy · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Joel AlvarezRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Marc DiakieseRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
James VickRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R3
Reza MadadiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
W · Sub · R1
Mitch ClarkeRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07

News & Media

Marc Diakiese · Joe Duffy
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