UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal
London, United Kingdom
16 Mar 2019
Lightweight
VS
63%
Diakiese
37%
Duffy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Diakiese
Diakiese holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Duffy has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Duffy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Duffy throws more volume but Diakiese connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Diakiese's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Duffy has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Diakiese
Duffy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
73"
33+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Diakiese
Duffy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.3
21.7
41.2
Performance Avg
49.0
33
Quality of Victory
48
88
Momentum Score
100
Diakiese
Duffy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
36%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
6
Body
2
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance4
3Clinch0
2Ground0
Diakiese
Duffy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diakiese
Duffy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
8/21 fights
Diakiese
Duffy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
100
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Diakiese
Duffy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diakiese
Duffy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
DiakieseDuffy
Strike Zones
Diakiese
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedDuffy
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diakiese targets the head (35% of attacks) — Duffy absorbs 35% of strikes there
🎯Duffy targets the head (50% of attacks) — Diakiese absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diakiese
RND
Duffy
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Diakiese · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Duffy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Diakiese · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kaue FernandesRating 6.1Decision
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L · Sub · R1
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