METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen
Las Vegas, USA
29 Oct 2022
Flyweight
VS
90%
Durden
10%
Mota
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Cody DurdenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Carlos Mota · UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Durden
→
Actual result
Durden wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Durden is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Durden has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Risk flags
Durden's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DurdenMota
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Durden
Mota
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
67"
Reach
+69"
35
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Durden
Mota
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
4.3
37.6
Performance Avg
0.0
34
Quality of Victory
0
54
Momentum Score
0
Durden
Mota
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.6
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
1
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Durden
Mota
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Durden
Mota
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/28 fights
Chin rating based on
1/10 fights
Durden
Mota
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
0
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Durden
Mota
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Durden
Mota
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
DurdenMota
Strike Zones
Durden
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedMota
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Durden targets the head (60% of attacks) — Mota absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Mota targets the body (57% of attacks) — Durden absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Durden
RND
Mota
0/0R00/0
Durden · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Alessandro CostaSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Sub · R2
Allan NascimentoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Jose OchoaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
Mota · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Cody DurdenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10