UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen
Las Vegas, USA
29 Oct 2022
Flyweight
VS
90%
Durden
10%
Mota
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Durden
Durden is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Durden has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Durden has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Durden's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Durden
Mota
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
67"
Reach
+69"
35
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Durden
Mota
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.8
4.3
38.8
Performance Avg
0.0
34
Quality of Victory
0
54
Momentum Score
0
Durden
Mota
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
37%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
1
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Durden
Mota
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
1.0
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Durden
Mota
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/28 fights
Chin rating based on
1/10 fights
Durden
Mota
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
0
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Durden
Mota
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Durden
Mota
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
DurdenMota
Strike Zones
Durden
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedMota
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Durden targets the head (60% of attacks) — Mota absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Mota targets the body (57% of attacks) — Durden absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Durden
RND
Mota
0/0R00/0
Durden · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Durden · Last 5
Upcoming
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UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
Mota · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Cody DurdenRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
