UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
Newark, USA
27 Apr 2013
Featherweight
VS
43%
Garcia
57%
McKenzie
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
LG
Leonard Garcia
"Bad Boy"
18 – 13
5'10"68" reachOrthodox46 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
CM
Cody McKenzie
16 – 10
Well-Rounded38 yrsSwitch72" reach6'0"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: McKenzie

This is a genuine toss-up — Garcia at 43% vs McKenzie at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Garcia throws more volume but McKenzie connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

McKenzie has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Garcia
McKenzie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
68"
Reach
+72"
46
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Garcia
McKenzie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
18.1
32.6
Performance Avg
43.7
40
Quality of Victory
44
39
Momentum Score
72
Garcia
McKenzie
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.7
21%
Strike Accuracy
32%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
17
2
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance15
2Clinch3
0Ground1
Garcia
McKenzie
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.9
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Garcia
McKenzie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/31 fights
Chin rating based on
7/26 fights
Garcia
McKenzie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
72
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Garcia
McKenzie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Garcia
McKenzie
Striking0.4 / 0.9Volume4.4 / 3.5Grappling5.2 / 6.1Wrestling3.6 / 4.3Submission5.0 / 6.7Pressure4.2 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Garcia
Strike Zones
McKenzie
Garcia
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD1BODY1LEGS19 absorbed
McKenzie
Attacking
17HEAD1BODY1LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Garcia targets the head (75% of attacks) — McKenzie absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯McKenzie targets the head (89% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Garcia
RND
McKenzie
0/0R00/0

Garcia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W3.2L5.5L5.5L6.6L5.5L2007-042010-122012-062013-04
WinLossTrend

McKenzie · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0105.0W2.8L2.8L5.0W1.5L4.5W5.5L2010-122011-092012-072013-12
WinLossTrend

Garcia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cody McKenzieRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
Matt GriceRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Nam PhanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Sub · R2
Chan Sung JungRating 3.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03

McKenzie · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sam StoutRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
W · Dec · R3
Leonard GarciaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · KO · R1
Chad MendesRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
W · Sub · R1
Marcus LeVesseurRating 5
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · Sub · R2
Vagner RochaRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09

News & Media

Leonard Garcia · Cody McKenzie
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