UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2
Montreal, Canada
8 May 2010
Middleweight
VS
42%
Cote
58%
Belcher
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:25
PC
Patrick Cote
"The Predator"
23 – 11
5'11"75" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
AB
Alan Belcher
"The Talent"
18 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Belcher

This is a genuine toss-up — Cote at 42% vs Belcher at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Belcher has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Striking split: Belcher throws more volume but Cote connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Cote's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Belcher has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cote
Belcher
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
75"
46
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cote
Belcher
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
22.4
41.8
Performance Avg
53.0
38
Quality of Victory
48
79
Momentum Score
100
Cote
Belcher
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.4
49%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
2
0
Body
4
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
13Distance6
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Cote
Belcher
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cote
Belcher
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/34 fights
Chin rating based on
15/26 fights
Cote
Belcher
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Cote
Belcher
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
78%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cote
Belcher
Striking5.0 / 5.6Volume5.0 / 2.1Grappling1.2 / 2.9Wrestling0.8 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure4.2 / 7.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
Cote
Strike Zones
Belcher
Cote
Attacking
13HEAD0BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD4BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Belcher
Attacking
2HEAD4BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD0BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cote targets the head (100% of attacks) — Belcher absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Belcher targets the body (44% of attacks) — Cote absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cote
RND
Belcher
0/0R00/0

Cote · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L4.0L5.5L1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L2.8L5.5L5.5L4.0W4.5W4.5W6.1L4.5W5.5W5.2W4.0L5.5L2004-102008-012012-112016-012017-04
WinLossTrend

Belcher · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.5W2.8L5.0W4.2W1.5L4.7W5.2W5.5L5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L2006-082007-102009-072012-052013-04
WinLossTrend

Cote · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · KO · R3
Donald CerroneRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · Dec · R3
Joe RiggsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04

Belcher · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Yushin OkamiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
W · KO · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R2
Patrick CoteRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05

News & Media

Patrick Cote · Alan Belcher
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