METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2
Montreal, Canada
8 May 2010
Middleweight
VS
42%
Cote
58%
Belcher
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:25
★ Official Result
Alan BelcherwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:25
def. Patrick Cote · UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Belcher
→
Actual result
Belcher wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cote at 42% vs Belcher at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Belcher has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Cote's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Belcher has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CoteBelcher
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cote
Belcher
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
75"
46
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cote
Belcher
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
22.4
41.8
Performance Avg
53.0
38
Quality of Victory
48
79
Momentum Score
100
Cote
Belcher
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
7.2
5.0
Style: Volume
2.1
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
2
0
Body
4
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
13Distance6
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Cote
Belcher
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cote
Belcher
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/34 fights
Chin rating based on
15/26 fights
Cote
Belcher
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Cote
Belcher
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
78%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cote
Belcher
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
CoteBelcher
Strike Zones
Cote
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedBelcher
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cote targets the head (100% of attacks) — Belcher absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Belcher targets the body (44% of attacks) — Cote absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cote
RND
Belcher
0/0R00/0
Cote · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesDecision
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L · KO · R3
Donald CerroneKO/TKO
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W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R3
Joshua BurkmanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · Dec · R3
Joe RiggsDecision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
Belcher · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingDecision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Yushin OkamiDecision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
W · KO · R1
Rousimar PalharesKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R2
Patrick CoteSubmission
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05