UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa
Adelaide, Australia
1 Dec 2018
Lightweight
VS
7%
Gorgees
93%
Ismagulov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AG
Alex Gorgees
"Hitman"
6 – 1
6'2"74" reachSwitch30 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 3
DI
Damir Ismagulov
"Qazaq"
24 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ismagulov

Ismagulov is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ismagulov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Striking split: Ismagulov throws more volume but Gorgees connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Gorgees
Ismagulov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
74"
Reach
74"
30+
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Gorgees
Ismagulov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.7
35.4
0.0
Performance Avg
43.6
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
65
Gorgees
Ismagulov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
1.0
71%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
10
1
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance7
4Clinch2
0Ground3
Gorgees
Ismagulov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gorgees
Ismagulov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/7 fights
Chin rating based on
7/27 fights
Gorgees
Ismagulov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
65
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Gorgees
Ismagulov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gorgees
Ismagulov
Striking0.0 / 1.4Volume0.0 / 9.4Grappling0.0 / 2.4Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 2.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.1
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.4
Gorgees
Strike Zones
Ismagulov
Gorgees
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Ismagulov
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gorgees targets the head (60% of attacks) — Ismagulov absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Ismagulov targets the head (83% of attacks) — Gorgees absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gorgees
RND
Ismagulov
0/0R00/0

Ismagulov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W5.8W4.7W4.5W4.6W7.1L7.0L2018-122019-082022-062023-07
WinLossTrend

Gorgees · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Damir IsmagulovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12

Ismagulov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Grant DawsonRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Guram KutateladzeRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Rafael AlvesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
W · Dec · R3
Thiago MoisesRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang · 2019-08

News & Media

Alex Gorgees · Damir Ismagulov
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