UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
Perth, Australia
27 Sept 2025
Women's Bantamweight
VS
56%
Montague
44%
Carolina
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Michelle
Michelle Montague
"The Wild One"
8 – 0
5'9"68" reachSouthpaw32 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 61
Luana
Luana Carolina
"Dread"
11 – 5
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'6"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Montague

This is a genuine toss-up — Montague at 56% vs Carolina at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Carolina has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Carolina has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Montague
Carolina
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
+69"
32
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Montague
Carolina
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.8
47.8
55.0
Performance Avg
41.5
25
Quality of Victory
29
100
Momentum Score
80
Montague
Carolina
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
8
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance9
0Clinch0
14Ground0
Montague
Carolina
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Montague
Carolina
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/8 fights
Chin rating based on
10/16 fights
Montague
Carolina
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
80
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Montague
Carolina
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
17%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Montague
Carolina
Striking2.0 / 2.9Volume10.0 / 7.9Grappling2.4 / 2.0Wrestling1.7 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.0 / 3.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
10.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Montague
Strike Zones
Carolina
Montague
Attacking
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Carolina
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Montague targets the head (100% of attacks) — Carolina absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Carolina targets the head (89% of attacks) — Montague absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Montague
RND
Carolina
0/0R00/0

Montague · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.1W5.1W2025-092026-04
WinLossTrend

Carolina · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W1.5L4.5W5.0W4.7L5.7L4.9W5.8W4.5W6.8L2019-052021-102023-072025-09
WinLossTrend

Montague · Last 2

W · Dec · R3
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Luana CarolinaRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09

Carolina · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michelle MontagueRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Lucie PudilovaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · KO · R3
Julija StoliarenkoRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Ivana PetrovicRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

News & Media

Michelle Montague · Luana Carolina
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