UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2
Fortaleza, Brazil
2 Feb 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
78%
Walker
22%
Ledet
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Walker
Walker is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Walker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Walker has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Walker's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ledet has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Walker
Ledet
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'4"
82"+
Reach
80"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Walker
Ledet
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.4
14.5
54.6
Performance Avg
37.9
56
Quality of Victory
35
41
Momentum Score
53
Walker
Ledet
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.0
59%
Strike Accuracy
35%
8.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Walker
Ledet
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Walker
Ledet
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Walker
Ledet
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
53
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Walker
Ledet
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
33%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Walker
Ledet
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
WalkerLedet
Strike Zones
Walker
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedLedet
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Walker targets the head (86% of attacks) — Ledet absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Walker
RND
Ledet
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Walker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Ledet · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Walker · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dominick ReyesRating 6.5Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Zhang MingyangRating 7.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Magomed AnkalaevRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Upcoming
Magomed AnkalaevUFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Ledet · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksa CamurRating 5.5Decision
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Azunna AnyanwuRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09