UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
Vancouver, Canada
11 Jun 2011
Lightweight
VS
61%
Edwards
39%
Stout
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:52
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Edwards
Edwards holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Stout has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Edwards has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Striking split: Stout throws more volume but Edwards connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Edwards's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stout has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Edwards
Stout
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
70"
49
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Edwards
Stout
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
12.3
47.6
Performance Avg
35.3
46
Quality of Victory
29
85
Momentum Score
60
Edwards
Stout
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
28%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
5
4
Body
5
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Edwards
Stout
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edwards
Stout
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/64 fights
Chin rating based on
20/32 fights
Edwards
Stout
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
60
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Edwards
Stout
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
11%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edwards
Stout
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.1
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
EdwardsStout
Strike Zones
Edwards
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedStout
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the head (57% of attacks) — Stout absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Stout targets the head (38% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edwards
RND
Stout
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Edwards · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Stout · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Edwards · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Akbarh ArreolaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Sub · R3
Piotr HallmannRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Upcoming
Yancy MedeirosUFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Daron CruickshankRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 5.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
Stout · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Frankie PerezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R2
Ross PearsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · KO · R1
KJ NoonsRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Cody McKenzieRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · Sub · R3
James KrauseRating 4Submission
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06