METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale
Las Vegas, USA
12 Jul 2015
Middleweight
VS
61%
Miller
39%
Smith
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Trevor SmithwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dan Miller · The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
→
Actual result
Smith wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Miller holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Smith has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Smith has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MillerSmith
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miller
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+75"
45
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
10.9
43.7
Performance Avg
31.7
42
Quality of Victory
25
51
Momentum Score
45
Miller
Smith
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
1.3
3.6
Style: Volume
8.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
15
0
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch1
0Ground15
Miller
Smith
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
4.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miller
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
26
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
12/25 fights
Miller
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Miller
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Smith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
MillerSmith
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedSmith
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the head (83% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0
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L · Dec · R3
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