METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2014
Welterweight
VS
30%
Hendricks
70%
Lawler
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Robbie LawlerwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Johny Hendricks · UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lawler
→
Actual result
Lawler wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Lawler is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lawler has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hendricks's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lawler has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HendricksLawler
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hendricks
Lawler
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+74"
42+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Hendricks
Lawler
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
40.7
48.2
Performance Avg
51.0
39
Quality of Victory
45
80
Momentum Score
90
Hendricks
Lawler
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
25
1
Body
17
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance17
0Clinch6
0Ground19
Hendricks
Lawler
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hendricks
Lawler
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/26 fights
Chin rating based on
25/46 fights
Hendricks
Lawler
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
90
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Hendricks
Lawler
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
53%
5
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hendricks
Lawler
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
HendricksLawler
Strike Zones
Hendricks
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedLawler
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hendricks targets the head (85% of attacks) — Lawler absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Lawler targets the head (60% of attacks) — Hendricks absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hendricks
RND
Lawler
0/0R00/0
Hendricks · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Lawler · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Hendricks · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Paulo CostaRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Tim BoetschRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
Lawler · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R3
Nick DiazRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08