UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson
Melbourne, Australia
26 Nov 2016
Welterweight
VS
39%
Noke
61%
Akhmedov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Akhmedov
Akhmedov holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Noke has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Noke has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Noke has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Noke's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Akhmedov has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Noke
Akhmedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
73"
46
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Noke
Akhmedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
30.2
50.4
Performance Avg
47.0
51
Quality of Victory
36
59
Momentum Score
100
Noke
Akhmedov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.9
53%
Strike Accuracy
34%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
0
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Noke
Akhmedov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.1
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Noke
Akhmedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
40
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/32 fights
Chin rating based on
15/27 fights
Noke
Akhmedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Noke
Akhmedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Noke
Akhmedov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
NokeAkhmedov
Strike Zones
Noke
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedAkhmedov
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Noke targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Akhmedov absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Akhmedov targets the head (75% of attacks) — Noke absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Noke
RND
Akhmedov
0/0R00/0
Noke · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Akhmedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Noke · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R2
Keita NakamuraRating 2.8Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Peter SobottaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Jonavin WebbRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
Akhmedov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Sub · R2
Tom BreeseRating 5.2Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 4.5Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.9Decision
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