UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
Manchester, United Kingdom
8 Oct 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
76%
Preux
24%
Manuwa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:38
Ovince
Ovince Saint Preux
27 – 18
6'3"80" reachSouthpaw43 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 47
JM
Jimi Manuwa
"Poster Boy"
17 – 6
Well-Rounded4-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'1"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Preux

Preux is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Manuwa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Preux's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Manuwa has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Preux
Manuwa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
80"+
Reach
79"
43+
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Preux
Manuwa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.7
15.1
50.2
Performance Avg
45.2
48
Quality of Victory
42
72
Momentum Score
53
Preux
Manuwa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.4
48%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
10
1
Body
4
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance17
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Preux
Manuwa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Preux
Manuwa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
5
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
28/45 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Preux
Manuwa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
53
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Preux
Manuwa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
5
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Preux
Manuwa
Striking5.1 / 6.0Volume3.2 / 2.3Grappling3.3 / 0.4Wrestling2.3 / 0.3Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure6.7 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.4
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
Preux
Strike Zones
Manuwa
Preux
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD4BODY3LEGS17 absorbed
Manuwa
Attacking
10HEAD4BODY3LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Preux targets the head (50% of attacks) — Manuwa absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Manuwa targets the head (59% of attacks) — Preux absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Preux
RND
Manuwa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Preux · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W6.2W5.2W5.5L5.0W5.0W3.1L4.5W7.3L2.8L6.3L5.9W5.0W5.5W1.5L6.0W6.5L4.0L6.2W5.5L6.1W4.0L3.4L4.5W2.2L5.8W1.9L2013-042015-082017-112020-092024-10
WinLossTrend

Manuwa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0104.2W4.0W5.2W2.1L5.1W2.8L5.8W5.0W2.3L6.1L2.8L1.6L2012-092014-032016-102018-032019-06
WinLossTrend

Preux · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Philipe LinsRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Mauricio RuaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Tanner BoserRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06

Manuwa · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Aleksandar RakicRating 1.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R2
Thiago SantosRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
W · KO · R1
Corey AndersonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03

News & Media

Ovince Saint Preux · Jimi Manuwa
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