UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura
Las Vegas, USA
16 Mar 2024
Flyweight
VS
53%
Filho
47%
Osbourne
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:27
Jafel
Jafel Filho
"Pastor"
17 – 5
5'7"68" reachOrthodox33 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 57
Ode
Ode Osbourne
"The Jamaican Sensation"
13 – 9
Striker34 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'7"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Filho

This is a genuine toss-up — Filho at 53% vs Osbourne at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Filho has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Osbourne has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Filho
Osbourne
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
+73"
33+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Filho
Osbourne
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.0
51.3
52.4
Performance Avg
43.7
54
Quality of Victory
45
46
Momentum Score
87
Filho
Osbourne
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
46%
Strike Accuracy
41%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
0
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
18Ground0
Filho
Osbourne
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Filho
Osbourne
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
16
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/22 fights
Chin rating based on
14/22 fights
Filho
Osbourne
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
87
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Filho
Osbourne
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Filho
Osbourne
Striking1.0 / 6.8Volume1.0 / 4.0Grappling8.0 / 1.0Wrestling5.6 / 0.7Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure8.5 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Filho
Strike Zones
Osbourne
Filho
Attacking
18HEAD2BODY1LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Osbourne
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD2BODY1LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Filho targets the head (86% of attacks) — Osbourne absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Filho
RND
Osbourne
0/0R00/0

Filho · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.4L5.0W5.8W7.0L5.9W5.6L2023-032023-072024-032025-052025-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Osbourne · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.8L5.0W3.2L4.5W5.0W1.7L5.4W3.9L2.6L6.7L5.2W6.1L2020-012021-112023-022024-092025-08
WinLossTrend

Filho · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cody DurdenRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Clayton CarpenterRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Allan NascimentoRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Ode OsbourneRating 5.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · Sub · R1
Daniel BarezRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07

Osbourne · Last 5

Upcoming
Cody Durden
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
Upcoming
Alibi Idiris
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R2
Luis GuruleRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Ronaldo RodriguezRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

News & Media

Jafel Filho · Ode Osbourne
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