The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale
Las Vegas, USA
15 Dec 2012
Bantamweight
VS
50%
Bedford
50%
Vinicius
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:00
JB
Johnny Bedford
"Brutal"
21 – 13
5'10"71" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 18
MV
Marcos Vinicius
"Vina"
23 – 11
Knockout Artist2-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox5'9"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bedford

This is a genuine toss-up — Bedford at 50% vs Vinicius at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Bedford throws more volume but Vinicius connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Bedford's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Vinicius has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Bedford
Vinicius
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
43+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bedford
Vinicius
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
17.7
47.5
Performance Avg
43.3
53
Quality of Victory
50
39
Momentum Score
52
Bedford
Vinicius
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.8
52%
Strike Accuracy
63%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
3
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Bedford
Vinicius
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bedford
Vinicius
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/34 fights
Chin rating based on
3/34 fights
Bedford
Vinicius
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
52
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
Bedford
Vinicius
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bedford
Vinicius
Striking10.0 / 10.0Volume0.8 / 0.7Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.2 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Bedford
Strike Zones
Vinicius
Bedford
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Vinicius
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bedford targets the head (70% of attacks) — Vinicius absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Vinicius targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Bedford absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bedford
RND
Vinicius
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Bedford · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0105.5W5.2W4.0L1.7L3.1L2011-122012-122013-042014-062014-09
WinLossTrend

Vinicius · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.5W2.8L4.0L2012-062012-122013-09
WinLossTrend

Bedford · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Rani YahyaRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
L · KO · R1
Cody GibsonRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
Upcoming
Rani Yahya
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
L · Sub · R3
Bryan CarawayRating 4
Submission
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
W · KO · R2
Marcos ViniciusRating 5.2
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12

Vinicius · Last 3

L · KO · R3
Ali BagautinovRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09
L · KO · R2
Johnny BedfordRating 2.8
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
W · KO · R3
Wagner CamposRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · 2012-06

News & Media

Johnny Bedford · Marcos Vinicius
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