UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
Anaheim, USA
22 Jan 2022
Welterweight
VS
66%
Morales
34%
Giles
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:06
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Morales
Morales holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Giles has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Morales has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Morales has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Giles has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Morales
Giles
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
74"
26+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Morales
Giles
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
76.5
39.6
70.0
Performance Avg
41.9
50
Quality of Victory
36
100
Momentum Score
72
Morales
Giles
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.6
1.1
57%
Strike Accuracy
55%
9.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
3
0
Body
1
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
12Distance8
0Clinch0
14Ground0
Morales
Giles
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Morales
Giles
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Morales
Giles
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
72
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Morales
Giles
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
43%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Morales
Giles
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
MoralesGiles
Strike Zones
Morales
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedGiles
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Morales targets the head (88% of attacks) — Giles absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Giles targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Morales
RND
Giles
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Morales · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Giles · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Morales · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Sean BradyRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Neil MagnyRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
Giles · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Carlos PratesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Sub · R1
Gabriel BonfimRating 3.2Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Louis CosceRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09