UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jul 2023
Lightweight
VS
42%
Kutateladze
58%
Brener
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:17
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brener
This is a genuine toss-up — Kutateladze at 42% vs Brener at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brener has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Brener throws more volume but Kutateladze connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Kutateladze
Brener
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
72"
34
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kutateladze
Brener
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.5
51.3
31.0
Performance Avg
47.0
25
Quality of Victory
45
55
Momentum Score
52
Kutateladze
Brener
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.8
46%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
21
11
Body
6
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance25
9Clinch2
0Ground2
Kutateladze
Brener
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kutateladze
Brener
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/18 fights
Chin rating based on
6/22 fights
Kutateladze
Brener
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
52
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Kutateladze
Brener
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kutateladze
Brener
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
KutateladzeBrener
Strike Zones
Kutateladze
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedBrener
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kutateladze targets the head (50% of attacks) — Brener absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Brener targets the head (72% of attacks) — Kutateladze absorbs 72% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kutateladze
RND
Brener
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kutateladze · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Brener · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Kutateladze · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kaue FernandesRating 7.1Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Jordan VucenicRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · KO · R3
Elves BrenerRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Damir IsmagulovRating 5.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 5.6Decision
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Brener · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R3
Joel AlvarezRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 7.1Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · KO · R1
Kaynan KruschewskyRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
W · KO · R3
Guram KutateladzeRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07