METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jan 2016
Welterweight
VS
36%
Noke
64%
Morono
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alex MoronowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kyle Noke · UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Morono
→
Actual result
Morono wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Morono holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Noke has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Noke has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Noke's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Morono has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NokeMorono
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Noke
Morono
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
72"
46
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Noke
Morono
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
35.0
50.4
Performance Avg
43.3
51
Quality of Victory
35
59
Momentum Score
20
Noke
Morono
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
7.3
Style: Pressure
3.9
2.3
Style: Volume
6.7
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
14
7
Body
2
9
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance12
1Clinch0
3Ground4
Noke
Morono
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.5
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Noke
Morono
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
20
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/32 fights
Chin rating based on
24/37 fights
Noke
Morono
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Noke
Morono
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
31%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Noke
Morono
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.5
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
NokeMorono
Strike Zones
Noke
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedMorono
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Noke targets the legs (38% of attacks) — Morono absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Morono targets the head (88% of attacks) — Noke absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Noke
RND
Morono
0/0R00/0
Noke · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R2
Keita NakamuraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Peter SobottaKO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Jonavin WebbDecision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
Morono · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniil DonchenkoDecision
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L · KO · R1
Carlos LealKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeDecision
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