UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jan 2016
Welterweight
VS
36%
Noke
64%
Morono
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KN
Kyle Noke
22 – 10
6'1"76" reachSouthpaw46 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
Alex
Alex Morono
"The Great White"
24 – 13
Well-Rounded4-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Morono

Morono holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Noke has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Noke has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Striking split: Morono throws more volume but Noke connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Noke's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Morono has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Noke
Morono
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
72"
46
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Noke
Morono
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
35.0
50.4
Performance Avg
43.3
51
Quality of Victory
35
59
Momentum Score
20
Noke
Morono
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.0
53%
Strike Accuracy
41%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
14
7
Body
2
9
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance12
1Clinch0
3Ground4
Noke
Morono
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Noke
Morono
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
20
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/32 fights
Chin rating based on
24/37 fights
Noke
Morono
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Noke
Morono
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
31%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Noke
Morono
Striking6.0 / 2.7Volume2.3 / 6.7Grappling3.1 / 2.9Wrestling2.1 / 2.0Submission3.3 / 1.5Pressure7.3 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.5
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
Noke
Strike Zones
Morono
Noke
Attacking
8HEAD7BODY9LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD2BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Morono
Attacking
14HEAD2BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD7BODY9LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Noke targets the legs (38% of attacks) — Morono absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Morono targets the head (88% of attacks) — Noke absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Noke
RND
Morono
0/0R00/0

Noke · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W5.2W5.0W1.7L5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L2.8L5.5L2010-062011-082014-042016-012016-11
WinLossTrend

Morono · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.9W5.0W5.1W2.9L4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5L5.3W6.7L4.7W6.2L6.4L2.3L7.8L2016-012019-032021-092024-042026-02
WinLossTrend

Noke · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R2
Keita NakamuraRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Peter SobottaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Jonavin WebbRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05

Morono · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Daniil DonchenkoRating 7.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Carlos LealRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04

News & Media

Kyle Noke · Alex Morono
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