UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
63%
Cirkunov
37%
Nicholson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:28
MC
Misha Cirkunov
15 – 9
6'3"77" reachOrthodox39 yrs4-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 28
AN
Alex Nicholson
"The Spartan"
7 – 4
Knockout Artist2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'4"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cirkunov

Cirkunov holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Nicholson has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cirkunov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cirkunov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Nicholson has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cirkunov
Nicholson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
77"
39
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cirkunov
Nicholson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.3
16.7
50.1
Performance Avg
46.0
53
Quality of Victory
60
59
Momentum Score
22
Cirkunov
Nicholson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.8
54%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Cirkunov
Nicholson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
4.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cirkunov
Nicholson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
64
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Cirkunov
Nicholson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
22
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Cirkunov
Nicholson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cirkunov
Nicholson
Striking2.6 / 10.0Volume0.9 / 0.5Grappling6.7 / 0.0Wrestling4.7 / 0.0Submission8.3 / 0.0Pressure8.4 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
6.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Cirkunov
Strike Zones
Nicholson
Cirkunov
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Nicholson
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cirkunov targets the head (75% of attacks) — Nicholson absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Nicholson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cirkunov absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cirkunov
RND
Nicholson
0/0R00/0

Cirkunov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W5.2W5.8W6.2W2.3L1.9L5.0W2.3L6.5W1.9L5.5L2.8L2.4L2015-082017-052019-092022-10
WinLossTrend

Nicholson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0102.8L5.0W5.5L2.4L2016-022016-072016-112017-05
WinLossTrend

Cirkunov · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Wellington TurmanRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Sub · R1
Jimmy CruteRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09

Nicholson · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Jack HermanssonRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · KO · R1
Devin ClarkRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
L · Sub · R2
Misha CirkunovRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02

News & Media

Misha Cirkunov · Alex Nicholson
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