UFC 70: Nations Collide
Manchester, United Kingdom
21 Apr 2007
Lightweight
VS
88%
Assuncao
12%
Lee
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:55
JA
Junior Assuncao
16 – 6
5'9"72" reachOrthodox44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 15
DL
David Lee
12 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide48 yrsOrthodox5'10"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Assuncao

Assuncao is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Assuncao has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.

Assuncao has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Assuncao
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
72"
Reach
44+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Assuncao
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
2.1
38.3
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Assuncao
Lee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.4
65%
Strike Accuracy
57%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
1Clinch2
2Ground0
Assuncao
Lee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Assuncao
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/22 fights
Chin rating based on
2/22 fights
Assuncao
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Assuncao
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Assuncao
Lee
Striking0.8 / 0.0Volume4.8 / 0.0Grappling5.2 / 0.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Assuncao
Strike Zones
Lee
Assuncao
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Lee
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Assuncao targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (33% of attacks) — Assuncao absorbs 33% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Assuncao
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Assuncao · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0101.5L5.2W1.5L4.5W5.5L2006-102007-042007-092011-092011-12
WinLossTrend

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.1
0101.5L2.8L2006-092007-04
WinLossTrend

Assuncao · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
W · Dec · R3
Eddie YaginRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
L · Sub · R1
Nate DiazRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
W · Sub · R2
David LeeRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 70: Nations Collide · 2007-04
L · Sub · R1
Kurt PellegrinoRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 64: Unstoppable · 2006-10

Lee · Last 2

L · Sub · R2
Junior AssuncaoRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 70: Nations Collide · 2007-04
L · Sub · R1
Tyson GriffinRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn · 2006-09

News & Media

Junior Assuncao · David Lee
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