METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jul 2022
Welterweight
VS
61%
Miller
39%
Cerrone
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:32
★ Official Result
Jim MillerwinsSubmissionR2 · 1:32
def. Donald Cerrone · UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
→
Actual result
Miller wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Miller holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Cerrone has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cerrone has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MillerCerrone
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miller
Cerrone
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+73"
43
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Cerrone
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
28.2
51.5
Performance Avg
53.0
45
Quality of Victory
47
28
Momentum Score
63
Miller
Cerrone
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
6.7
3.5
Style: Volume
3.7
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
10 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
1
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Miller
Cerrone
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.6
14
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miller
Cerrone
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
7
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.1 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
38/53 fights
Miller
Cerrone
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
63
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Miller
Cerrone
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
70%
6
KO / TKO Wins
10
14
Submission Wins
6
8
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Cerrone
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.6
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
MillerCerrone
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedCerrone
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (33% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Cerrone targets the head (50% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Cerrone
0/0R00/0
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperDecision
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W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonSubmission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Cerrone · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jim MillerSubmission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko PriceUFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisDecision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
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