UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jul 2022
Welterweight
VS
61%
Miller
39%
Cerrone
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:32
Jim
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39 – 19
5'8"71" reachSouthpaw42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 44
DC
Donald Cerrone
"Cowboy"
36 – 17
Well-Rounded6-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 28

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Miller

Miller holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Cerrone has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cerrone has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cerrone has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Miller
Cerrone
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+73"
42+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Cerrone
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
28.2
51.5
Performance Avg
53.0
45
Quality of Victory
47
28
Momentum Score
63
Miller
Cerrone
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
6 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
1
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Miller
Cerrone
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Cerrone
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
7
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.1 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
38/53 fights
Miller
Cerrone
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
63
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Miller
Cerrone
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
70%
6
KO / TKO Wins
10
14
Submission Wins
6
8
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Miller
Cerrone
Striking3.4 / 5.6Volume3.5 / 3.7Grappling4.7 / 2.8Wrestling3.3 / 2.0Submission5.0 / 2.6Pressure6.8 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.6
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Miller
Strike Zones
Cerrone
Miller
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Cerrone
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (33% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Cerrone targets the head (50% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Miller
RND
Cerrone
0/0R00/0

Miller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.4W5.5W5.5L5.0W2.1L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.1L6.5L4.5W3.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W6.8L5.5L5.5L2.4L5.0W2.9L5.0W5.5W5.5L5.2W5.7L6.2L5.2W5.9W5.2W6.4L5.0W5.7W6.2L5.3W6.3L5.4W2008-102012-052017-022021-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Cerrone · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W4.5W6.4W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.7L5.2W5.0W5.5W5.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W1.7L5.0W5.5W5.2W5.9W2.8L5.8L1.5L5.0W6.6L5.0W6.1W4.5W5.3L3.1L3.5L5.5L1.5L3.2L2011-022013-112016-062019-052022-07
WinLossTrend

Miller · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01

Cerrone · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jim MillerRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko Price
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

News & Media

Jim Miller · Donald Cerrone
← Back to fights