METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 51: Super Saturday
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2005
Welterweight
VS
49%
Parisyan
51%
Lytle
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KP
Karo Parisyan
"The Heat"
24 – 11
5'10"72" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
CL
Chris Lytle
"Lights Out"
31 – 18
Well-Rounded51 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'11"
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Karo ParisyanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Chris Lytle · UFC 51: Super Saturday

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lytle
→
Actual result
Parisyan wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Parisyan at 49% vs Lytle at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lytle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Striking split: Lytle throws more volume but Parisyan connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Parisyan's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ParisyanLytle
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Parisyan
Lytle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
72"+
Reach
68"
43+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Parisyan
Lytle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
18.3
46.5
Performance Avg
46.2
33
Quality of Victory
44
79
Momentum Score
56
Parisyan
Lytle
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
10Ground0
Parisyan
Lytle
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Parisyan
Lytle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/35 fights
Chin rating based on
20/49 fights
Parisyan
Lytle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Parisyan
Lytle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
70%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
6
6
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Parisyan
Lytle
Striking2.6 / 2.0Volume7.3 / 3.4Grappling2.8 / 5.5Wrestling2.0 / 3.9Submission1.3 / 6.0Pressure3.8 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Parisyan
Strike Zones
Lytle
Parisyan
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Lytle
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Parisyan targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lytle absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Parisyan
RND
Lytle
0/0R00/0

Parisyan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W2.8L1.5L2003-092005-022006-082007-112010-11
WinLossTrend

Lytle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.8L5.8L5.2W5.2W5.5L4.8L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.6W4.5W5.5L5.5W2000-112005-102008-022010-022011-08
WinLossTrend

Parisyan · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Dennis HallmanRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
Upcoming
Dong Hyun Kim
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
L · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
W · Dec · R3
Ryo ChonanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11
W · Dec · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05

Lytle · Last 5

W · Sub · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R1
Brian FosterRating 5
Submission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02

News & Media

Karo Parisyan · Chris Lytle
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