UFC 51: Super Saturday
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2005
Welterweight
VS
49%
Parisyan
51%
Lytle
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lytle
This is a genuine toss-up — Parisyan at 49% vs Lytle at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lytle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Lytle throws more volume but Parisyan connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Parisyan's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Parisyan
Lytle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
72"+
Reach
68"
43+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Parisyan
Lytle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
18.3
46.5
Performance Avg
46.2
33
Quality of Victory
44
79
Momentum Score
56
Parisyan
Lytle
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
10Ground0
Parisyan
Lytle
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Parisyan
Lytle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/35 fights
Chin rating based on
20/49 fights
Parisyan
Lytle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Parisyan
Lytle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
70%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
6
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Parisyan
Lytle
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
ParisyanLytle
Strike Zones
Parisyan
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedLytle
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Parisyan targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lytle absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Parisyan
RND
Lytle
0/0R00/0
Parisyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Lytle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Parisyan · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dennis HallmanRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
Upcoming
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L · KO · R2
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W · Dec · R3
Ryo ChonanRating 4.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05
Lytle · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5Decision
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W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6Submission
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W · Sub · R1
Brian FosterRating 5Submission
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