METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
Las Vegas, USA
27 Apr 2024
Women's Flyweight
VS
37%
Silva
63%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Karine SilvawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ariane da Silva · UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Silva
→
Actual result
Silva wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Silva holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Silva has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SilvaSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Silva
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
67"
Reach
67"
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.5
59.1
39.0
Performance Avg
50.4
36
Quality of Victory
42
30
Momentum Score
77
Silva
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.2
41%
Strike Accuracy
38%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
4
16
Body
4
3
Leg
5
RangeRange
19Distance11
7Clinch2
0Ground0
Silva
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.8
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/28 fights
Chin rating based on
8/26 fights
Silva
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
77
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Silva
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
SilvaSilva
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedSilva
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the body (62% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the legs (38% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Wang CongRating 6.8Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Sub · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 4.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · Sub · R2
Casey O'NeillRating 6.4Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Melissa GattoRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Dione BarbosaRating 5.2Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Ariane da SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04