Nathaniel Wood vs Daniel Pineda — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2

Manchester, United Kingdom

27 Jul 2024

Featherweight

48%

Wood

52%

Pineda

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Nathaniel Wood

"The Last Kingsman"

23 – 6

5'6"69" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 49

Daniel Pineda

"The Pit"

28 – 17

Submission Hunter3-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"

CFR 53

★ Official Result

Nathaniel WoodwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Daniel Pineda · UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Pineda

→

Actual result

Wood wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Wood at 48% vs Pineda at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Pineda has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.

Risk flags

Pineda has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

WoodPineda

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Wood

Pineda

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'6"

Height

+5'7"

69"

Reach

69"

33+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Wood

Pineda

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

49.3

52.9

48.1

Performance Avg

47.4

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Wood

Pineda

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.5

/ 10

2.8

/ 10

4.1

Style: Pressure

8.2

7.3

Style: Volume

0.8

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

9Distance4

0Clinch1

0Ground2

Wood

Pineda

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.9

/ 10

6.4

/ 10

2.8

Wrestling Style (/10)

4.5

2.7

Submission Style (/10)

8.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Wood

Pineda

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R3.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.5 stoppage

11 fights ago

Last KO loss

5 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

15/29 fights

Chin rating based on

14/45 fights

Wood

Pineda

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Current form

3-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R2

Upcoming

Wood

Pineda

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

27%

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wood

Pineda

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.5

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

2.8

3.9

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

6.4

2.8

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

4.5

2.7

Submission

Submission attack frequency

8.0

4.1

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

8.2

7.3

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.8

Wood

Strike Zones

Pineda

Wood

Attacking

9 landed

Absorbing

7 absorbed

Pineda

Attacking

7 landed

Absorbing

9 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Wood targets the head (56% of attacks) — Pineda absorbs 56% of strikes there

🎯Pineda targets the head (86% of attacks) — Wood absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wood

RND

Pineda

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Wood · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Pavel Andrusca

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09

W · Dec · R3

Losene Keita

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03

W · Dec · R3

Jose Delgado

Decision

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10

W · Dec · R3

Morgan Charriere

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03

W · Dec · R3

Daniel Pineda

Decision

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

Pineda · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Darren Elkins

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

L · Dec · R3

Nathaniel Wood

Decision

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

L · Dec · R3

Alex Caceres

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06

W · Sub · R2

Tucker Lutz

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03

Upcoming

Andre Fili

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06

News & Media

Nathaniel Wood · Daniel Pineda

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