UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard
Las Vegas, USA
5 Apr 2007
Welterweight
VS
52%
Carneiro
48%
Clementi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RC
Roan Carneiro
"Jucao"
21 – 11
5'11"76" reachOrthodox47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
RC
Rich Clementi
"No Love"
45 – 23
Well-Rounded2-fight slide50 yrsSouthpaw72" reach5'9"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Carneiro

This is a genuine toss-up — Carneiro at 52% vs Clementi at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Carneiro has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Carneiro's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Clementi has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Carneiro
Clementi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
76"+
Reach
72"
47+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Carneiro
Clementi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
14.9
41.6
Performance Avg
44.4
40
Quality of Victory
41
59
Momentum Score
26
Carneiro
Clementi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.6
44%
Strike Accuracy
38%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Carneiro
Clementi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.8
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Carneiro
Clementi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
60
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/32 fights
Chin rating based on
10/68 fights
Carneiro
Clementi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
26
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Carneiro
Clementi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Carneiro
Clementi
Striking3.4 / 1.0Volume4.9 / 4.2Grappling3.2 / 5.8Wrestling2.2 / 4.0Submission2.5 / 6.0Pressure4.8 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Carneiro
Strike Zones
Clementi
Carneiro
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Clementi
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Carneiro targets the head (80% of attacks) — Clementi absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Clementi targets the head (50% of attacks) — Carneiro absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Carneiro
RND
Clementi
0/0R00/0

Carneiro · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.5W2.8L5.2W2.8L5.5L5.0W1.8L4.5W5.5L2007-042008-062016-022017-02
WinLossTrend

Clementi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.0L2.8L5.2W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L2003-022007-042008-042009-02
WinLossTrend

Carneiro · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Kenny RobertsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Derek BrunsonRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
W · Sub · R1
Mark MunozRating 5
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Ryo ChonanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 88: Breakthrough · 2008-09

Clementi · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Gleison TibauRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
W · Dec · R3
Terry EtimRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05
W · Dec · R3
Sam StoutRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
W · Sub · R1
Melvin GuillardRating 5
Submission
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12

News & Media

Roan Carneiro · Rich Clementi
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