METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard
Las Vegas, USA
5 Apr 2007
Welterweight
VS
52%
Carneiro
48%
Clementi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Roan CarneirowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Rich Clementi · UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Carneiro
→
Actual result
Carneiro wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Carneiro at 52% vs Clementi at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Carneiro's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Clementi has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CarneiroClementi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Carneiro
Clementi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
76"+
Reach
72"
48+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Carneiro
Clementi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
14.9
41.6
Performance Avg
44.4
40
Quality of Victory
41
59
Momentum Score
26
Carneiro
Clementi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
5.7
4.9
Style: Volume
4.2
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Carneiro
Clementi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
6.0
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Carneiro
Clementi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
60
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/32 fights
Chin rating based on
10/68 fights
Carneiro
Clementi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
26
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Carneiro
Clementi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Carneiro
Clementi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
CarneiroClementi
Strike Zones
Carneiro
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedClementi
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Carneiro targets the head (80% of attacks) — Clementi absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Clementi targets the head (50% of attacks) — Carneiro absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Carneiro
RND
Clementi
0/0R00/0
Carneiro · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareDecision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Kenny RobertsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Derek BrunsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
W · Sub · R1
Mark MunozSubmission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Ryo ChonanDecision
UFC 88: Breakthrough · 2008-09
Clementi · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Gleison TibauSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardDecision
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
W · Dec · R3
Terry EtimDecision
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05
W · Dec · R3
Sam StoutDecision
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
W · Sub · R1
Melvin GuillardSubmission
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12