UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
26 Jun 2021
Featherweight
VS
48%
Fili
52%
Pineda
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pineda
This is a genuine toss-up — Fili at 48% vs Pineda at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pineda has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Striking split: Fili throws more volume but Pineda connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Fili's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pineda has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Fili
Pineda
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
74"+
Reach
69"
35+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fili
Pineda
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
52.9
42.0
Performance Avg
47.4
35
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
85
Fili
Pineda
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.1
37%
Strike Accuracy
55%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
2
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Fili
Pineda
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.4
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fili
Pineda
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/38 fights
Chin rating based on
14/45 fights
Fili
Pineda
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
85
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Fili
Pineda
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
9
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fili
Pineda
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
8.0
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
FiliPineda
Strike Zones
Fili
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedPineda
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fili targets the head (60% of attacks) — Pineda absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Pineda targets the head (60% of attacks) — Fili absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fili
RND
Pineda
0/0R00/0
Fili · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Pineda · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
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Upcoming
Andre FiliUFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06