UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje
Vancouver, Canada
14 Sept 2019
Featherweight
VS
68%
Skelly
32%
Griffin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JG
CFR 16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Skelly
Skelly holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Griffin has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Griffin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Skelly
Griffin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
+73"
41
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Skelly
Griffin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.0
16.3
56.6
Performance Avg
37.7
46
Quality of Victory
50
75
Momentum Score
33
Skelly
Griffin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.0
36%
Strike Accuracy
55%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
8
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Skelly
Griffin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Skelly
Griffin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/22 fights
Chin rating based on
5/27 fights
Skelly
Griffin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
33
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Skelly
Griffin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Skelly
Griffin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
SkellyGriffin
Strike Zones
Skelly
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedGriffin
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Skelly targets the head (83% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Griffin targets the head (100% of attacks) — Skelly absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Skelly
RND
Griffin
0/0R00/0
Skelly · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Griffin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Skelly · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Mark StrieglRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Jordan GriffinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Upcoming
Bobby MoffettUFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
L · KO · R3
Jason KnightRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
W · Sub · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
Griffin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Luis SaldanaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Youssef ZalalRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
W · Sub · R2
TJ BrownRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Chas SkellyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12