UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
12 Mar 2022
Lightweight
VS
48%
Dober
52%
McKinney
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:17
Drew
Drew Dober
29 – 15
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw37 yrs2-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 60
Terrance
Terrance McKinney
"T. Wrecks"
18 – 8
Knockout Artist31 yrsSwitch73" reach5'10"
CFR 66

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: McKinney

This is a genuine toss-up — Dober at 48% vs McKinney at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

McKinney has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Dober's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

McKinney has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Dober
McKinney
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+73"
37
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Dober
McKinney
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.9
65.7
53.2
Performance Avg
59.3
50
Quality of Victory
58
100
Momentum Score
98
Dober
McKinney
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
5.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
56%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
11 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
33
2
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance15
2Clinch5
9Ground16
Dober
McKinney
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dober
McKinney
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
4
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
13/26 fights
Dober
McKinney
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
98
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Dober
McKinney
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
11
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dober
McKinney
Striking8.5 / 7.5Volume2.8 / 1.2Grappling1.0 / 3.0Wrestling0.7 / 2.1Submission0.7 / 3.8Pressure7.3 / 8.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
Dober
Strike Zones
McKinney
Dober
Attacking
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
33HEAD3BODY0LEGS36 absorbed
McKinney
Attacking
33HEAD3BODY0LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dober targets the head (82% of attacks) — McKinney absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯McKinney targets the head (92% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dober
RND
McKinney
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Dober · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L5.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W2.8L5.0W4.5W4.5W3.7L5.0W5.7W6.1W6.0L5.5L6.5W5.5W6.0W1.7L5.1W6.3L7.1L3.6L5.5W5.3W2013-112017-072021-032024-022026-03
WinLossTrend

McKinney · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.2W6.2W2.7L5.0W3.1L4.2L5.0W5.0W2.2L5.0W5.5W2.8L5.1W2021-062023-012024-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Dober · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · R3
Jean SilvaRating 7.1
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02

McKinney · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Chris DuncanRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R1
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Damir HadzovicRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · KO · R1
Esteban RibovicsRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

News & Media

Drew Dober · Terrance McKinney
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