METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
12 Mar 2022
Lightweight
VS
48%
Dober
52%
McKinney
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:17
★ Official Result
Drew DoberwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:17
def. Terrance McKinney · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McKinney
→
Actual result
Dober wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Dober at 48% vs McKinney at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
McKinney has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Dober's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McKinney has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DoberMcKinney
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dober
McKinney
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+73"
37
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Dober
McKinney
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.9
65.7
53.2
Performance Avg
59.3
50
Quality of Victory
58
100
Momentum Score
98
Dober
McKinney
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
5.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
56%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
11 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
33
2
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance15
2Clinch5
9Ground16
Dober
McKinney
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dober
McKinney
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
4
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
13/26 fights
Dober
McKinney
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
98
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Dober
McKinney
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
11
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dober
McKinney
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
DoberMcKinney
Strike Zones
Dober
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedMcKinney
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dober targets the head (82% of attacks) — McKinney absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯McKinney targets the head (92% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dober
RND
McKinney
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Dober · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
McKinney · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Dober · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · R3
Jean SilvaRating 7.1UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
McKinney · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Chris DuncanRating 2.8Submission
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R1
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5.5Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Damir HadzovicRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · KO · R1
Esteban RibovicsRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05