Drew Dober vs Terrance McKinney — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev

Las Vegas, USA

12 Mar 2022

Lightweight

48%

Dober

52%

McKinney

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 3:17

Drew Dober

29 – 15

5'8"70" reachSouthpaw37 yrs2-fight win streakKnockout Artist

CFR 60

Terrance McKinney

"T. Wrecks"

18 – 8

Knockout Artist31 yrsSwitch73" reach5'10"

CFR 64

★ Official Result

Drew DoberwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:17

def. Terrance McKinney · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

McKinney

→

Actual result

Dober wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Dober at 48% vs McKinney at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Dober's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

McKinney has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

DoberMcKinney

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Dober

McKinney

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'8"

Height

+5'10"

70"

Reach

+73"

Age

+31

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

Dober

McKinney

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

59.9

63.9

53.2

Performance Avg

57.5

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Dober

McKinney

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

8.5

/ 10

7.4

/ 10

7.3

Style: Pressure

8.7

2.8

Style: Volume

1.1

11 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

5 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

6Distance15

2Clinch5

9Ground16

Dober

McKinney

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.0

/ 10

3.0

/ 10

0.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.1

0.7

Submission Style (/10)

3.8

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Dober

McKinney

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.3 stoppage

2 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

27/44 fights

Chin rating based on

14/26 fights

Dober

McKinney

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

2-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

W · KO · R2

W · KO · R3

L · KO · R1

L · R3

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · KO · R1

W · KO · R1

L · Sub · R1

W · Sub · R1

W · KO · R1

Dober

McKinney

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

80%

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dober

McKinney

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

8.5

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

7.4

1.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.0

0.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.1

0.7

Submission

Submission attack frequency

3.8

7.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

8.7

2.8

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

1.1

Dober

Strike Zones

McKinney

Dober

Attacking

17 landed

Absorbing

36 absorbed

McKinney

Attacking

36 landed

Absorbing

17 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Dober targets the head (82% of attacks) — McKinney absorbs 82% of strikes there

🎯McKinney targets the head (92% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dober

RND

McKinney

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Dober · Last 5

W · KO · R2

Michael Johnson

KO/TKO

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03

W · KO · R3

Kyle Prepolec

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10

L · KO · R1

Manuel Torres

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03

L · R3

Jean Silva

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

L · Dec · R3

Renato Moicano

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02

McKinney · Last 5

L · KO · R1

King Green

KO/TKO

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

W · KO · R1

Kyle Nelson

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03

L · Sub · R1

Chris Duncan

Submission

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12

W · Sub · R1

Viacheslav Borshchev

Submission

UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06

W · KO · R1

Damir Hadzovic

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02

News & Media

Drew Dober · Terrance McKinney

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