METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
12 Sept 2020
Welterweight
VS
95%
Barberena
5%
Ivy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Bryan BarberenawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Anthony Ivy · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barberena
→
Actual result
Barberena wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Barberena is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barberena has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.
Risk flags
Barberena's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BarberenaIvy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Barberena
Ivy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+74"
37
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Barberena
Ivy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.3
2.1
43.9
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
76
Momentum Score
0
Barberena
Ivy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.5
Style: Volume
0.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
8
2
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance5
3Clinch2
2Ground5
Barberena
Ivy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barberena
Ivy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Barberena
Ivy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Barberena
Ivy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barberena
Ivy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BarberenaIvy
Strike Zones
Barberena
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedIvy
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barberena targets the head (88% of attacks) — Ivy absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Ivy targets the head (67% of attacks) — Barberena absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barberena
RND
Ivy
0/0R00/0
Barberena · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Makhmud MuradovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R1
Gunnar NelsonSubmission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · Sub · R2
Rafael Dos AnjosSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · KO · R2
Robbie LawlerKO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
Ivy · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · KO · R1
Christian AguileraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06