METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
San Diego, USA
15 Jul 2015
Welterweight
VS
49%
Jouban
51%
Dwyer
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alan JoubanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Matt Dwyer · UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dwyer
→
Actual result
Jouban wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jouban at 49% vs Dwyer at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Dwyer has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Jouban's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JoubanDwyer
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jouban
Dwyer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
73"
Reach
+76"
44
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jouban
Dwyer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
18.5
49.7
Performance Avg
46.0
42
Quality of Victory
60
67
Momentum Score
43
Jouban
Dwyer
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.2
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
7.8
5.2
Style: Volume
0.5
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
5
Body
2
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance3
4Clinch1
4Ground0
Jouban
Dwyer
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jouban
Dwyer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Jouban
Dwyer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
67
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Jouban
Dwyer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jouban
Dwyer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
JoubanDwyer
Strike Zones
Jouban
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedDwyer
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jouban targets the head (44% of attacks) — Dwyer absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Dwyer targets the head (50% of attacks) — Jouban absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jouban
RND
Dwyer
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jouban · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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Ben SaundersKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Niko PriceKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Gunnar NelsonSubmission
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Dwyer · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownDecision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
L · Dec · R3
Alan JoubanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
William MacarioKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
L · KO · R1
Albert TumenovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10