METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
San Diego, USA
15 Jul 2015
Welterweight
VS
49%
Jouban
51%
Dwyer
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alan JoubanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Matt Dwyer · UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dwyer
→
Actual result
Jouban wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jouban at 49% vs Dwyer at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Dwyer has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Jouban has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jouban's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JoubanDwyer
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jouban
Dwyer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
73"
Reach
+76"
44
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jouban
Dwyer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
18.5
49.7
Performance Avg
46.0
42
Quality of Victory
60
67
Momentum Score
43
Jouban
Dwyer
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
0.8
51%
Strike Accuracy
28%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
5
Body
2
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance3
4Clinch1
4Ground0
Jouban
Dwyer
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jouban
Dwyer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Jouban
Dwyer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
67
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Jouban
Dwyer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jouban
Dwyer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
JoubanDwyer
Strike Zones
Jouban
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedDwyer
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jouban targets the head (44% of attacks) — Dwyer absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Dwyer targets the head (50% of attacks) — Jouban absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jouban
RND
Dwyer
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jouban · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Dwyer · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Jouban · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenRating 5Decision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 5.5Decision
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Gunnar NelsonRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
Dwyer · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
L · Dec · R3
Alan JoubanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
William MacarioRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
L · KO · R1
Albert TumenovRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10