METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2021
Catch Weight
VS
64%
Smith
36%
Jaynes
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Devonte SmithwinsR2 · 3:38
def. Justin Jaynes · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Smith
→
Actual result
Smith wins
Pre-fight analysis
Smith holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Jaynes has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jaynes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Smith's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jaynes has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SmithJaynes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Smith
Jaynes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
76"+
Reach
68"
33+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Jaynes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.2
17.5
49.5
Performance Avg
44.0
49
Quality of Victory
60
78
Momentum Score
39
Smith
Jaynes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.7
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.2
Style: Pressure
7.6
1.0
Style: Volume
0.4
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
3
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
8Ground1
Smith
Jaynes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Smith
Jaynes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
5/24 fights
Smith
Jaynes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
Smith
Jaynes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Jaynes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
SmithJaynes
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedJaynes
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (67% of attacks) — Jaynes absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Jaynes targets the head (50% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Jaynes
0/0R00/0
Smith · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinDecision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Jamie MullarkeyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
W · R2
Justin JaynesUFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Khama WorthyKO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · KO · R1
Dong Hyun MaKO/TKO
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
Jaynes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charles RosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · R2
Devonte SmithUFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Gabriel BenitezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Gavin TuckerSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · KO · R1
Frank CamachoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06