METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2021
Catch Weight
VS
53%
Smith
47%
Jaynes
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Devonte SmithwinsR2 · 3:38
def. Justin Jaynes · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Smith
→
Actual result
Smith wins
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Smith at 53% vs Jaynes at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jaynes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Smith has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Smith's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jaynes has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SmithJaynes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Smith
Jaynes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
76"+
Reach
68"
32+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Jaynes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.2
27.5
49.5
Performance Avg
44.0
49
Quality of Victory
60
78
Momentum Score
39
Smith
Jaynes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
1.6
52%
Strike Accuracy
47%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
3
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
8Ground1
Smith
Jaynes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.8
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smith
Jaynes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
5/24 fights
Smith
Jaynes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
Smith
Jaynes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Jaynes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
SmithJaynes
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedJaynes
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (67% of attacks) — Jaynes absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Jaynes targets the head (50% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Jaynes
0/0R00/0
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Jaynes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Smith · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Jamie MullarkeyRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
W · R2
Justin JaynesRating 4.2UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Khama WorthyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · KO · R1
Dong Hyun MaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
Jaynes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · R2
Devonte SmithRating 4.8UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Gabriel BenitezRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Gavin TuckerRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · KO · R1
Frank CamachoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06