The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale
Las Vegas, USA
11 Dec 2015
Welterweight
VS
47%
LaFlare
53%
Pierce
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pierce
This is a genuine toss-up — LaFlare at 47% vs Pierce at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pierce has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Pierce has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
LaFlare's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
LaFlare
Pierce
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
71"
42+
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
LaFlare
Pierce
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
16.5
43.0
Performance Avg
48.0
25
Quality of Victory
37
60
Momentum Score
38
LaFlare
Pierce
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
21
7
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
19Distance15
6Clinch8
0Ground0
LaFlare
Pierce
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
LaFlare
Pierce
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
LaFlare
Pierce
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
38
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
LaFlare
Pierce
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
LaFlare
Pierce
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
2.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
9.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
LaFlarePierce
Strike Zones
LaFlare
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedPierce
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯LaFlare targets the head (72% of attacks) — Pierce absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Pierce targets the head (91% of attacks) — LaFlare absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
LaFlare
RND
Pierce
0/0R00/0
LaFlare · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Pierce · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
LaFlare · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Alex OliveiraRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Roan CarneiroRating 4.5Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Mike PierceRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
Pierce · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · Sub · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · KO · R2
David MitchellRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Seth BaczynskiRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
Aaron SimpsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10