METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
Montreal, Canada
25 Apr 2015
Catch Weight
VS
55%
Jackson
45%
Maldonado
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Quinton JacksonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Fabio Maldonado · UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jackson
→
Actual result
Jackson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jackson at 55% vs Maldonado at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Maldonado has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Maldonado has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JacksonMaldonado
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jackson
Maldonado
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
73"
Reach
+75"
48
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jackson
Maldonado
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
17.5
51.1
Performance Avg
39.8
44
Quality of Victory
36
100
Momentum Score
81
Jackson
Maldonado
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
2.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
63%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
16
9
Body
9
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
29Distance22
7Clinch3
0Ground0
Jackson
Maldonado
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jackson
Maldonado
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/49 fights
Chin rating based on
11/34 fights
Jackson
Maldonado
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
81
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Jackson
Maldonado
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
40%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jackson
Maldonado
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
JacksonMaldonado
Strike Zones
Jackson
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedMaldonado
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Maldonado absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Maldonado targets the head (64% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jackson
RND
Maldonado
0/0R00/0
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Maldonado · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Jackson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
L · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · Sub · R4
Jon JonesRating 5.2Submission
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
W · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 4.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
Maldonado · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · KO · R2
Hans StringerRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03