UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
Montreal, Canada
25 Apr 2015
Catch Weight
VS
55%
Jackson
45%
Maldonado
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
QJ
Quinton Jackson
"Rampage"
37 – 12
6'1"73" reachOrthodox47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 22
FM
Fabio Maldonado
"Caipira de Aco"
23 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'1"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jackson

This is a genuine toss-up — Jackson at 55% vs Maldonado at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Maldonado has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Maldonado has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Jackson
Maldonado
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
73"
Reach
+75"
47
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jackson
Maldonado
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
17.5
51.1
Performance Avg
39.8
44
Quality of Victory
36
100
Momentum Score
81
Jackson
Maldonado
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
2.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
63%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
16
9
Body
9
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
29Distance22
7Clinch3
0Ground0
Jackson
Maldonado
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jackson
Maldonado
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/49 fights
Chin rating based on
11/34 fights
Jackson
Maldonado
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
81
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Jackson
Maldonado
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
40%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jackson
Maldonado
Striking5.0 / 4.9Volume6.2 / 5.7Grappling1.5 / 1.4Wrestling1.1 / 1.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Jackson
Strike Zones
Maldonado
Jackson
Attacking
24HEAD9BODY3LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD9BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Maldonado
Attacking
16HEAD9BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD9BODY3LEGS36 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Maldonado absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Maldonado targets the head (64% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jackson
RND
Maldonado
0/0R00/0

Jackson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2L5.5L5.9L4.5W2007-022008-122011-052015-04
WinLossTrend

Maldonado · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.5L5.5L5.1L4.5W4.5W4.5W2.6L5.2W5.5L5.5L2010-102012-102014-032015-042015-11
WinLossTrend

Jackson · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
L · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.9
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · Sub · R4
Jon JonesRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
W · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05

Maldonado · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · KO · R2
Hans StringerRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

News & Media

Quinton Jackson · Fabio Maldonado
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