METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
Montreal, Canada
17 Nov 2012
Lightweight
VS
28%
Stout
72%
Makdessi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
John MakdessiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sam Stout · UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Makdessi
→
Actual result
Makdessi wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Makdessi is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Stout's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Makdessi has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StoutMakdessi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Stout
Makdessi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
68"
42
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stout
Makdessi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.3
30.9
35.3
Performance Avg
42.2
29
Quality of Victory
34
60
Momentum Score
51
Stout
Makdessi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
2.1
Style: Pressure
3.6
8.0
Style: Volume
6.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
25
3
Body
2
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
15Distance29
0Clinch2
1Ground0
Stout
Makdessi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stout
Makdessi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
32
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/32 fights
Chin rating based on
20/27 fights
Stout
Makdessi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
51
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Stout
Makdessi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
27%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stout
Makdessi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
StoutMakdessi
Strike Zones
Stout
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedMakdessi
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stout targets the head (56% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Makdessi targets the head (81% of attacks) — Stout absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stout
RND
Makdessi
0/0R00/0
Stout · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Frankie PerezKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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