UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
Las Vegas, USA
7 Mar 2020
Bantamweight
VS
58%
Danaa
42%
Cannetti
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:01
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Danaa
This is a genuine toss-up — Danaa at 58% vs Cannetti at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Danaa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Striking split: Danaa throws more volume but Cannetti connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Danaa's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cannetti has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Danaa
Cannetti
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
68"
36+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Danaa
Cannetti
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.5
34.3
53.1
Performance Avg
40.6
60
Quality of Victory
41
85
Momentum Score
68
Danaa
Cannetti
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.5
37%
Strike Accuracy
50%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
0
Body
3
1
Leg
8
RangeRange
12Distance9
0Clinch2
5Ground0
Danaa
Cannetti
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Danaa
Cannetti
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
28
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
10/18 fights
Danaa
Cannetti
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
68
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Danaa
Cannetti
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Danaa
Cannetti
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
DanaaCannetti
Strike Zones
Danaa
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedCannetti
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Danaa targets the head (94% of attacks) — Cannetti absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Cannetti targets the legs (73% of attacks) — Danaa absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Danaa
RND
Cannetti
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Danaa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Cannetti · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Danaa · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Brady HiestandRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 6.4Decision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · KO · R2
Chris GutierrezRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · KO · R1
Brandon DavisRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
W · KO · R1
Kevin NatividadRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
Cannetti · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Mario BautistaRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · Sub · R1
Randy CostaRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · KO · R1
Kris MoutinhoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Mana MartinezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · KO · R1
Batgerel DanaaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03