UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
5 Dec 2020
Lightweight
VS
58%
Benitez
42%
Jaynes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:06
Gabriel
Gabriel Benitez
"Moggly"
23 – 13
5'8"71" reachSouthpaw37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 39
JJ
Justin Jaynes
"The Guitar Hero"
16 – 8
Knockout Artist4-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'7"
CFR 28

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Benitez

This is a genuine toss-up — Benitez at 58% vs Jaynes at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jaynes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Striking split: Benitez throws more volume but Jaynes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Benitez's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jaynes has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Benitez
Jaynes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
68"
37
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Benitez
Jaynes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
27.5
46.5
Performance Avg
44.0
46
Quality of Victory
60
39
Momentum Score
39
Benitez
Jaynes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.8
1.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
16
10
Body
6
8
Leg
0
RangeRange
34Distance22
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Benitez
Jaynes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.8
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Benitez
Jaynes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/36 fights
Chin rating based on
5/24 fights
Benitez
Jaynes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
Benitez
Jaynes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Benitez
Jaynes
Striking5.2 / 10.0Volume3.2 / 0.4Grappling3.0 / 0.0Wrestling2.1 / 0.0Submission2.9 / 0.0Pressure6.4 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
Benitez
Strike Zones
Jaynes
Benitez
Attacking
20HEAD10BODY8LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD6BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Jaynes
Attacking
16HEAD6BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD10BODY8LEGS38 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Benitez targets the head (53% of attacks) — Jaynes absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Jaynes targets the head (73% of attacks) — Benitez absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Benitez
RND
Jaynes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Benitez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.5W4.5W2.2L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.0W2.3L5.5L5.0W5.2L2.3L5.0W4.4L5.8L2014-112017-052020-052022-082024-04
WinLossTrend

Jaynes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.0W4.0L1.7L4.8L5.5L2020-062020-082020-122021-022021-06
WinLossTrend

Benitez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
MaheshateRating 5.8
Decision
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L · Sub · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.4
Submission
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W · KO · R1
Charlie OntiverosRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · KO · R1
David OnamaRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
L · KO · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07

Jaynes · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · R2
Devonte SmithRating 4.8
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Gabriel BenitezRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Gavin TuckerRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · KO · R1
Frank CamachoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06

News & Media

Gabriel Benitez · Justin Jaynes
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