UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis
Nashville, USA
23 Mar 2019
Flyweight
VS
51%
Shelton
49%
Espinosa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ES
Eric Shelton
"Showtime"
12 – 6
5'6"68" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 12
JE
Jordan Espinosa
"The Gamer"
15 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'6"
CFR 12

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Shelton

This is a genuine toss-up — Shelton at 51% vs Espinosa at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Espinosa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Shelton
Espinosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
+69"
35+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Shelton
Espinosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.1
11.5
28.3
Performance Avg
28.3
25
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
45
Shelton
Espinosa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.3
40%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
9
0
Body
3
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
11Distance15
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Shelton
Espinosa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Shelton
Espinosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
6/24 fights
Shelton
Espinosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
45
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Shelton
Espinosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shelton
Espinosa
Striking0.7 / 0.7Volume8.7 / 8.7Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Shelton
Strike Zones
Espinosa
Shelton
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY3LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD3BODY3LEGS15 absorbed
Espinosa
Attacking
9HEAD3BODY3LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY3LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Shelton targets the head (73% of attacks) — Espinosa absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Espinosa targets the head (60% of attacks) — Shelton absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Shelton
RND
Espinosa
0/0R00/0

Shelton · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9
0106.8L5.5L4.5W6.8L6.5W5.5L2017-012017-072017-112018-022018-112019-03
WinLossTrend

Espinosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0104.5W1.7L2.8L4.5W5.5L5.6L2019-032019-082020-012020-062020-092021-03
WinLossTrend

Shelton · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jordan EspinosaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Joseph MoralesRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Alex PerezRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
W · Dec · R3
Jenel LausaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Jarred BrooksRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07

Espinosa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
David DvorakRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Mark De La RosaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
L · Sub · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Sub · R1
Matt SchnellRating 1.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08

News & Media

Eric Shelton · Jordan Espinosa
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