UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader
Belo Horizonte, Brazil
4 Sept 2013
Flyweight
VS
53%
Vinicius
47%
Bagautinov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:28
MV
Marcos Vinicius
"Vina"
23 – 11
5'9"Orthodox46 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 18
AB
Ali Bagautinov
"Puncher"
15 – 6
Well-Rounded40 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'4"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Vinicius

This is a genuine toss-up — Vinicius at 53% vs Bagautinov at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Vinicius has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Striking split: Bagautinov throws more volume but Vinicius connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Vinicius's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Vinicius
Bagautinov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'4"
Reach
65"
46
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vinicius
Bagautinov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
15.5
43.3
Performance Avg
41.6
50
Quality of Victory
31
52
Momentum Score
45
Vinicius
Bagautinov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.9
63%
Strike Accuracy
40%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
5
1
Body
1
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance2
2Clinch0
0Ground4
Vinicius
Bagautinov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vinicius
Bagautinov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/34 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Vinicius
Bagautinov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Vinicius
Bagautinov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vinicius
Bagautinov
Striking10.0 / 3.6Volume0.7 / 7.1Grappling0.0 / 1.8Wrestling0.0 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Vinicius
Strike Zones
Bagautinov
Vinicius
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY5LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Bagautinov
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY5LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Vinicius targets the legs (63% of attacks) — Bagautinov absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Bagautinov targets the head (83% of attacks) — Vinicius absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vinicius
RND
Bagautinov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Vinicius · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.5W2.8L4.0L2012-062012-122013-09
WinLossTrend

Bagautinov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5W4.6W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W7.0L2013-092014-022015-102016-11
WinLossTrend

Vinicius · Last 3

L · KO · R3
Ali BagautinovRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09
L · KO · R2
Johnny BedfordRating 2.8
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
W · KO · R3
Wagner CamposRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · 2012-06

Bagautinov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Geane HerreraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
L · Dec · R5
Demetrious JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
John LinekerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02

News & Media

Marcos Vinicius · Ali Bagautinov
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